18: Gauging deglobalization: How to identify geopolitical disconnects

BlackRock
00:23:02 Report Issue
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Chapters & Sections (51)

00:00 Global Market Context and Geopolitical Overview chapter 3
00:00 Market Signals Amid Global Uncertainty
00:31 Host Introduction and Episode Overview
01:03 Guest Introduction and Expertise Highlight
01:31 Introduction to the Host and Guest chapter 1
01:33 Opening Discussion on Current Geopolitical Landscape
02:04 Geopolitical Drivers of Market Volatility chapter 3
02:04 Impact of US-China Trade Tensions on Markets
02:35 Geopolitical Risk Amplified by Weak Economic Growth
03:06 Correlation Between Geopolitics and Asset Movements
03:35 Measuring Geopolitical Risk and Its Impact on Markets chapter 2
03:37 Challenges in Quantifying Geopolitical Influence
04:08 Identifying Flash Points for Market Impact
04:37 Strategic Themes: Brexit, Trade Wars, and Deglobalization chapter 6
04:39 Short-Term Tactical vs. Long-Term Strategic Geopolitical Themes
05:09 Deglobalization as a Key Market Driver
05:40 Qualitative Nature of Geopolitical Analysis
06:11 Quantifying China’s Geopolitical Impact Over Time
06:42 Defining and Measuring Deglobalization
07:14 Trade Flow Dynamics in a Deglobalized World
07:47 Global Trade Dynamics and Economic Impact chapter 3
07:47 Comparative Advantage and Trade Barriers
08:18 Productivity Growth Slowdown Post‑Financial Crisis
08:50 Timeline of Deglobalization Trends
09:21 Geopolitical Tensions and Market Responses chapter 3
09:21 Broader Geopolitical Drivers Beyond China
09:51 Protectionist Measures in the U.S. and Europe
10:21 Iran‑Related Tensions and Market Impact
11:16 Central Bank Policy and Asset Price Movements chapter 3
11:24 Equity Market Resilience Amid Geopolitical Risk
11:56 Central Bank Policy as a Counterbalance to Geopolitics
12:26 Quantitative Approach to Geopolitical Risk Measurement
12:57 Quantifying Geopolitical Risk with the BGRI chapter 3
12:57 BGRI Methodology and Data Sources
14:00 Big Data Techniques in Geopolitical Analysis
15:02 Interpreting BGRI Signals for Market Positioning
15:34 Market Expectations Around the Trump Election chapter 2
15:34 Forecasting Market Impact of Trump’s Election
16:04 Reactions to Geopolitical Events and BGRI Role
16:36 Introducing the BGRI and Trade Tariff Example chapter 2
16:36 BGRI Concept Explained with US‑China Tariff Example
17:07 Using BGRI to Gauge Market Surprise Potential
18:09 Applying BGRI to a Game of Thrones Analogy chapter 2
18:09 Game of Thrones Dashboard as a BGRI Analogy
18:40 Real‑World BGRI Indicators for Global Trade and Tensions
19:42 Rapid‑Fire Q&A and Closing Discussion chapter 4
19:42 Rapid‑Fire Question on Market Attention to North Korea
20:14 Rapid‑Fire Question on Domestic Politics Impact
20:46 Rapid‑Fire Question on Macro Environment and Growth
21:17 Trivia Segment and Closing Remarks
21:48 Legal Disclaimer and Distribution Notice chapter

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