38: Geopolitical fragmentation takes center stage

BlackRock
00:23:17 Report Issue
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Chapters & Sections (48)

00:00 Introduction and Geopolitical Context chapter 2
00:00 Host Introduction and Guest Overview
01:04 Geopolitical Drivers of 2019 Markets
01:34 Trade Tensions in 2019 and Early Relief chapter 2
01:34 Trade Tensions in 2019 and 2020 Outlook
02:05 Phase One Agreement Significance
03:08 Phase One US‑China Trade Agreement Details chapter 1
03:08 Trade Escalation Pause and Market Impact
04:09 Future Negotiations and Phase Two Issues chapter 1
04:09 Key Issues for Phase Two Negotiations
05:12 Technology Competition Between the US and China chapter 2
05:12 US‑EU and UK Trade Developments
06:14 Technology Competition Overview
07:16 Geopolitical Tensions and Global Economic Impact chapter 3
07:16 Concerns About Decoupling and New Cold War Narrative
07:46 Historical Comparison to the Soviet Era
08:17 Technology Ecosystem Divergence Between U.S. and China
08:47 U.S.-Iran Relations and Gulf Dynamics chapter 3
08:47 Recent Gulf Tensions and U.S.-Iran Escalations
09:18 Key Incidents in the Gulf (Sept–Oct 2023)
09:50 January 2024 U.S. and Iran Direct Actions
10:20 Escalation, Asymmetric Actions, and Regional Security chapter 2
10:20 Strategic Pause and Potential Asymmetric Moves by Iran
10:52 Proxy Forces and Cyber Capabilities of Iran
12:24 Cyber Risk Landscape in the Context of Geopolitical Tensions chapter 4
12:24 Cyber Risk Assessment for 2020 Elections
12:55 Broader Cyber Threat Landscape (China, Russia, North Korea)
13:27 Cybercrime and Ransomware Impact on U.S. Infrastructure
13:58 Deep Fake Technology and Deception Risks
14:29 US Elections Outlook and Political Risk chapter 4
14:29 Technological Threats to Political Discourse
14:59 Predicting the November Elections
15:29 Impeachment and Polarization Impact on Election Cycle
16:01 High Turnout Expectations for 2020 Election
16:32 Global Risks, Protests, and Economic Uncertainty chapter 3
16:32 COVID‑19 and Global Growth Risks
17:03 Protest Movements and Economic Downturn Concerns
18:05 Fiscal Constraints in a Polarized Environment
18:36 Rapid Fire Round and Closing Remarks chapter 3
18:36 Rapid Fire Travel Preferences
19:07 Family Background and National Security Role Clarification
19:38 Closing Remarks and Disclaimer
21:43 Black Rock Singapore Legal Disclaimer chapter 1
21:43 Singapore Registration and Disclosure
22:13 Latin America Regulatory Notice chapter 1
22:13 Latin America Educational Disclaimer
22:43 Mexico Investment Advisory Information chapter 1
22:43 Mexico Regulatory and Service Guide Reference

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