False Dawn: The New Deal and the Promise of Recovery, 1933–1947

The Cato Institute
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Chapters & Sections (107)

0:06 Introduction and Music chapter 2
0:06 Music and Introduction
1:13 More Music and Transition
12:52 Conversation with George Seljin chapter 2
12:52 George Seljin's New Book
14:26 Discussion of the New Deal
15:58 Initial Response to Depression and Banking Crisis chapter 1
15:58 Initial Progress of New Deal
16:29 NRA and Gold Rush Impact on Economy chapter 1
16:29 Gold Rush and Economic Slowdown
17:01 Unintentional Help from Abroad and Economic Concerns chapter 1
18:03 Roosevelt's Gold Purchase Program
19:35 New Deal Policies and Their Impact on Recovery chapter 4
19:35 Glass-Steagall Act of 1932 and Its Relevance to Recovery
20:06 Reconstruction Finance Corporation's Impact on Recovery
21:10 Recapitalization of Banks and Its Effectiveness
22:11 Agricultural Adjustment Act's Failure to Stimulate Recovery
23:47 The Banking Act and Deposit Insurance chapter 3
23:47 Roosevelt's Opposition to Deposit Insurance
24:18 Deposit Insurance and Banking System Stabilization
25:20 Federal Reserve Act of 1935 and Monetary Policy
27:28 Fiscal and Monetary Policy Discussion chapter 4
27:28 Monetary Policy Emphasis Over Fiscal Stimulus
28:31 Taxation and Regressive Taxes
29:31 Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act's Impact on the Great Depression
30:34 Policy Uncertainty and Certainty
31:04 Uncertainty and Investment chapter 6
31:04 Regime Uncertainty and Investor Behavior
31:34 Investment Spending and Recovery
32:06 Uncertainty as a Barrier to Recovery
32:37 Causes of the Second Great Depression
33:09 Monetary Policy and Inflation Concerns
34:11 Fiscal Constraint and the Outbreak of Depression
34:42 Fiscal Policy and New Deal Critique chapter 5
34:42 Fiscal Retrenchment and Monetary Policy Conjunction
35:14 Critique of Kanes' Writings on New Deal Policy
35:45 Kanes' Advice to Roosevelt on Depression and New Deal
36:16 Uncertainty, Regime Uncertainty, and New Deal Critique
36:49 Reform vs Recovery and Gold Purchase Program Critique
38:24 FDR's New Deal and Fascist Accusations chapter 4
38:24 FDR's Sympathy with Mussolini and Fascist Ideology
39:29 FDR's Political Calculations and Compromises
40:02 Comparing FDR to Fascist and Socialist Figures
41:04 Austrian Economists' Diagnosis of the 1930s
42:41 The Chicago School's Economic Theories chapter 5
42:41 Inconsistencies between Practical Recommendations and Austrian Theory
43:14 Early Chicago School's Fiscal Policy
43:47 Fischer and the Managed Fiat Dollar
44:21 Fractional Reserve Banking and Banking Crisis
44:52 Universal Banking Systems in Japan, Germany, and Canada
46:23 US Banking System Limitations and Restrictions chapter 1
46:23 US Banking System Limitations and Restrictions
47:26 Moral Hazard Problem and Deposit Guarantees chapter 3
47:56 Concentration of Banks and Deposit Insurance
48:26 Regulatory Restrictions and Banking System Structure
49:29 Free Market Banking System and Competition
50:33 Government Intervention in Banking chapter 3
50:33 Preventing Government Bailouts of Big Banks
51:04 Alternative Banking System without Government Interference
52:06 Critique of the Quantity Theory of Money
54:14 The Relationship Between Monetary Growth and Velocity chapter 3
54:14 The Rate of Change and Velocity
54:45 Correlation Data and the Quantity Theory
55:46 Changes in Monetary Policy Since 2008
56:20 The Quantity Theory of Money and Its Limitations chapter 1
56:20 The Need for Central Bank Independence
57:55 Free Banking and Monetary Policy chapter 5
57:55 Proposal for a Frozen Monetary Base and Fiat Money
58:28 Free Banking with Fiat Standard and Robustness in the Banking System
58:59 Managing Monetary Base and Central Authorities
59:30 Night Watchman Fed and Interest Rate Control
1:00:01 Dollarization Reform and Fiscal Restraint
01:01:37 Critique of Economists' Approaches and Dollarization chapter 5
01:01:37 Economists' Blackboard Economics and Dollarization Comparison
01:02:10 Relevance of Central Bank Management Records for Dollarization Comparison
01:02:40 Stable Coins, Banking Lobby, and Regulatory Arbitrage
01:03:11 Stable Coins' Potential Impact on Banks and Regulatory Concerns
01:04:14 Regulation of Stable Coins for Reliability and Accountability
1:05:15 George Seljian's Donkey Reservation Experience chapter 3
1:05:15 George's Involvement with Donkey Reservation and Adoption
1:06:19 Donkey Population and Therapy
1:07:21 George's Shift from Libertarianism
1:08:52 The Infeasibility of Recreating a Gold Standard chapter 4
1:08:52 Regulations and the Failure of the Gold Standard
1:09:23 The Problem with Central Banks and Commitment to Gold
1:09:54 Network Problems and the Lack of Trust in a New Gold Standard
1:10:24 Personal Anecdotes and Positive Surprises in Nanducia
1:12:00 Discussion on Language and Travel chapter 4
1:12:00 Spanish Language and Travel Plans
1:12:33 Learning Railroad Lingo for Spanish Vocabulary
1:13:03 Book Recommendation and Euro Zone Discussion
1:14:05 George's Thoughts on the Euro Zone and Currency Reform
1:14:39 Economic Discussion and Book Recommendation chapter 2
1:14:36 Ambivalence about Britain's Decision to Leave the Euro Zone
1:15:07 Discussion on US Economy and World War II
01:16:15 The US Depression and the Role of Wartime Spending chapter 4
01:16:15 The Common View of the US Depression and Wartime Spending
01:16:46 The Keynesian View of the Depression and Wartime Spending
01:17:18 The Role of the War in Changing Government Attitude towards Business
01:17:49 The Impact of Wartime Spending on the Economy and Recovery
01:18:54 The Impact of AI on Productivity and Deflation chapter 1
01:19:25 The Relationship between AI, Productivity, and Deflation
1:20:28 The Role of Productivity and Innovation in Economic Recovery chapter 4
1:20:28 Technical Innovation in the 1930s and Its Impact on Labor Markets
1:21:29 The Relationship Between Productivity and Depression
1:22:00 The Impact of Potential Output on the Recovery from the Great Depression
1:23:01 The Consequences of a Loss of Central Bank Independence

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